Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+48.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -4.6 | -0.5 | +2.1 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 21% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -21.4 | -1.4 | +1.6 | +21.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 11% | 21% | 26% | 42% | +2.0 | +2.6 | +2.0 | -6.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 23% | 28% | 38% | -6.4 | +18.7 | -8.6 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 39% | 21% | 33% | -4.1 | -7.0 | -5.2 | +16.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 30% | 16% | 47% | +20.4 | -3.7 | -7.1 | -9.6 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 30% | 14% | 40% | -2.2 | -2.2 | +32.5 | -28.1 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 13% | 29% | 39% | 19% | -1.7 | -32.0 | -0.7 | +34.4 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 7% | 35% | 47% | -10.6 | +17.6 | -10.9 | +3.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 9% | 14% | 22% | 55% | -2.2 | +0.7 | +3.8 | -2.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 15% | 28% | 50% | -11.4 | +14.8 | -23.7 | +20.3 |