Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+48.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,300 from Tomohiro Honda | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.5 | -2.3 | +6.5 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 20% | 25% | 29% | 26% | -20.3 | -1.0 | -1.8 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 22% | 25% | 44% | +0.6 | +3.2 | +3.1 | -6.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 25% | 28% | 38% | -4.5 | +19.0 | -10.3 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 38% | 20% | 33% | -4.3 | -8.1 | -3.7 | +16.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 29% | 17% | 48% | +19.7 | -2.1 | -7.8 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 15% | 30% | 14% | 40% | -1.9 | -3.1 | +32.9 | -28.0 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 14% | 28% | 39% | 20% | -1.8 | -32.6 | -0.5 | +35.0 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 6% | 35% | 48% | -11.0 | +18.8 | -10.4 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 14% | 23% | 54% | -1.4 | +1.5 | +0.9 | -1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 16% | 25% | 51% | -11.8 | +13.5 | -21.3 | +19.6 |