Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/18 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+106.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +27.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +11.0 | -11.2 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 34% | 18% | 23% | 25% | -3.7 | +0.3 | +23.6 | -20.3 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 18% | 41% | 14% | +24.6 | -13.1 | -6.2 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 9% | 33% | 10% | +27.3 | -4.0 | -18.2 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 79% | 4% | 11% | 6% | -0.8 | +0.3 | +20.1 | -19.7 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,500 from Daisuke Suzuki | 75% | 4% | 20% | 1% | +3.8 | -3.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 79% | 2% | 18% | 1% | +12.4 | -3.3 | -6.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 90% | 1% | 8% | 1% | +4.5 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 94% | 1% | 5% | 0% | +20.8 | -5.9 | -8.4 | -6.5 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.9 | -2.0 | -0.2 | +3.1 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -1.1 | -3.1 | +8.0 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +0.2 | -0.1 | -1.9 | +1.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | -2.0 | -0.9 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +8.9 | +3.9 | -0.9 | -11.9 |