Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

10/18 Game 2

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+87.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +48.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance	Hori Shingo 1st-place chance	Nakada Kana 1st-place chance	Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance	Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change	Hori Shingo Expected pt change	Nakada Kana Expected pt change	Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change
East 1	Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000	25%	25%	25%	25%	-13.9	-8.2	+31.3	-9.1
East 2	Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi	13%	19%	51%	18%	-26.7	+27.1	+0.3	-0.7
East 2, 1 honba	Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana	4%	33%	47%	15%	+29.0	+3.0	-32.1	+0.1
East 3	Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000	16%	41%	24%	18%	-8.5	-1.1	-11.9	+21.5
East 4	Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana	11%	42%	16%	32%	+0.3	-4.7	-30.3	+34.7
East 4, 1 honba	Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,600 from Watanabe Futoshi	7%	27%	3%	62%	+10.3	+0.5	-2.2	-8.7
South 1	Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000	12%	29%	4%	56%	+32.5	-12.2	-8.2	-12.1
South 1, 1 honba	Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000	37%	21%	2%	41%	-8.8	+11.7	-0.8	-2.1
South 2	Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000	28%	31%	2%	39%	-19.5	+48.5	-8.4	-20.6
South 2, 1 honba	Draw	4%	87%	0%	9%	-1.6	+3.4	-0.3	-1.4
South 2, 2 honba	Draw	2%	89%	0%	8%	+4.5	+2.2	+0.7	-7.4
South 2, 3 honba	Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Nakada Kana	3%	91%	0%	5%	-1.3	+12.8	-11.0	-0.5
South 2, 4 honba	Nakada Kana ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi	0%	98%	0%	2%	+3.3	-0.7	+5.8	-8.3
South 3	Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana	0%	99%	0%	1%	+2.9	+3.0	-4.1	-1.7
South 4	Draw	0%	99%	0%	1%	-2.0	+1.7	-1.3	+1.6
South 4, 1 honba	Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Watanabe Futoshi	0%	99%	0%	1%	+7.0	+0.4	+0.3	-7.7