Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -6.7 | -6.4 | +14.1 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 21% | 36% | 24% | -1.2 | -2.4 | -0.7 | +4.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 19% | 35% | 26% | -1.2 | +1.9 | +1.3 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 19% | 19% | 37% | 25% | -22.7 | -4.5 | -6.0 | +33.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 14% | 28% | 52% | +5.1 | -3.6 | -0.4 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 6,400 | 9% | 12% | 26% | 53% | -13.4 | -5.1 | +24.6 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 2% | 8% | 50% | 41% | -7.1 | -3.5 | +9.7 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 2% | 62% | 36% | -2.4 | +10.5 | -13.8 | +5.6 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 6% | 45% | 50% | -3.2 | -4.9 | +31.8 | -23.7 |