Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -8.9 | -7.2 | +14.6 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 21% | 35% | 25% | +2.0 | -4.4 | -2.8 | +5.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 17% | 34% | 29% | -4.1 | +4.4 | +3.0 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 19% | 19% | 35% | 27% | -23.7 | -4.6 | -6.0 | +34.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 13% | 26% | 55% | +6.0 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 6,400 | 8% | 12% | 26% | 54% | -12.8 | -6.5 | +23.8 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 2% | 8% | 47% | 44% | -6.3 | -2.8 | +11.5 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 2% | 64% | 34% | -3.7 | +10.7 | -14.1 | +7.1 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 6% | 44% | 50% | -2.8 | -5.2 | +32.0 | -24.0 |