Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +41.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +6.2 | -4.3 | -1.4 | -0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 9,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 29% | 22% | 23% | 25% | +25.8 | -24.3 | +0.8 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 51% | 9% | 20% | 21% | -0.5 | +1.0 | -0.6 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho | 51% | 9% | 20% | 20% | -0.2 | +6.1 | -1.0 | -4.9 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,800 from Honda Tomohiro | 51% | 12% | 19% | 18% | -18.5 | +17.6 | +1.7 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 35% | 22% | 23% | 20% | +11.0 | -2.0 | -10.0 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 5,200 | 44% | 20% | 16% | 20% | -2.8 | +16.6 | -10.5 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 41% | 31% | 10% | 18% | +8.5 | +1.3 | -1.6 | -8.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,000 | 50% | 30% | 9% | 11% | +18.1 | -8.5 | -4.8 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 71% | 17% | 5% | 6% | -18.2 | +30.5 | -7.2 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 48% | 5% | 5% | +26.3 | -18.1 | -6.1 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 4,000 | 81% | 15% | 2% | 2% | -1.0 | +8.8 | -6.1 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 7,700 from Nakabayashi Kei | 80% | 19% | 0% | 1% | -1.7 | 0.0 | -12.3 | +14.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 77% | 20% | 0% | 3% | -32.3 | +41.9 | -1.8 | -7.8 |