Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+50.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +5.9 | -0.6 | -2.5 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 31% | 24% | 22% | 24% | +30.8 | -3.1 | -26.9 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 18% | 9% | 18% | +3.6 | -2.2 | -4.4 | +3.0 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 16% | 6% | 20% | +3.0 | -4.8 | +1.6 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 14% | 7% | 20% | -12.3 | +25.3 | -6.7 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 47% | 30% | 6% | 17% | +13.2 | -13.8 | -0.8 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 17% | 5% | 16% | -0.2 | +3.7 | -5.3 | +1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 63% | 18% | 3% | 17% | +0.9 | -2.9 | +13.8 | -11.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 67% | 18% | 5% | 11% | -2.1 | -2.5 | -0.2 | +4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 68% | 16% | 5% | 11% | -8.6 | -22.0 | -9.0 | +39.6 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 7,700 from Kenji Katsumata | 53% | 3% | 4% | 40% | -24.2 | -5.8 | +21.4 | +8.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 24% | 3% | 11% | 61% | +11.6 | +33.2 | -13.5 | -31.3 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 47% | 23% | 6% | 25% | +27.9 | -19.9 | -7.7 | -0.4 |