Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+50.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +30.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +6.5 | -1.9 | -3.3 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 30% | 24% | 22% | 25% | +30.6 | -0.6 | -26.5 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 53% | 20% | 8% | 18% | +2.4 | -3.2 | -3.7 | +4.5 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 55% | 17% | 7% | 21% | +2.9 | -7.6 | +3.7 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 14% | 8% | 20% | -10.7 | +26.7 | -9.0 | -7.0 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 48% | 28% | 6% | 18% | +14.1 | -13.2 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 63% | 17% | 5% | 15% | -2.1 | +5.6 | -7.2 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 20% | 2% | 16% | +0.1 | -4.5 | +18.5 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 66% | 18% | 6% | 10% | -1.0 | -2.5 | -3.9 | +7.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 67% | 16% | 6% | 12% | -8.3 | -21.6 | -8.6 | +38.5 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 7,700 from Katsumata Kenji | 53% | 3% | 4% | 41% | -24.7 | -5.8 | +21.5 | +9.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 23% | 4% | 10% | 63% | +12.9 | +32.8 | -12.6 | -33.0 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 48% | 23% | 6% | 23% | +27.2 | -19.8 | -8.4 | +1.0 |