Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/22 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +42.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 24% | +28.2 | -7.0 | -11.5 | -9.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 47% | 18% | 16% | 18% | -7.7 | -4.6 | +14.6 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 40% | 16% | 27% | 17% | -2.3 | -11.0 | +19.2 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 36% | 11% | 40% | 13% | -3.9 | +9.3 | -0.9 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 15% | 40% | 12% | +9.5 | -2.5 | -1.7 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 43% | 11% | 37% | 8% | +0.1 | -2.1 | +8.6 | -6.6 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 18,000 | 41% | 9% | 45% | 5% | -21.7 | +62.6 | -26.5 | -14.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 65% | 17% | 2% | -13.0 | -25.6 | +42.7 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 7% | 26% | 66% | 2% | +42.2 | -38.5 | -2.8 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 39% | 0% | 59% | 1% | -14.6 | -0.1 | +18.5 | -3.7 |