Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/24 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +31.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,300 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -6.6 | +2.2 | +4.0 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 21% | 25% | 27% | 27% | -4.6 | -2.3 | +9.3 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 19% | 24% | 35% | 23% | +0.9 | +15.5 | -17.2 | +0.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 35% | 21% | 25% | -5.2 | +8.0 | +4.6 | -7.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 43% | 23% | 18% | -16.1 | -8.7 | +31.2 | -6.5 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 30% | 52% | 14% | -4.5 | -11.7 | +19.6 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,600 from Genta Takeuchi | 2% | 11% | 80% | 8% | +9.0 | +1.1 | +2.9 | -13.0 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 5% | 90% | 6% | -12.1 | -6.6 | -3.6 | +22.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 3% | 85% | 11% | -6.3 | +12.0 | +4.4 | -10.1 |