Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/24 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -7.1 | +0.5 | +4.1 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 22% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -4.2 | -2.1 | +9.3 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 19% | 23% | 35% | 23% | +0.2 | +16.7 | -18.6 | +1.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 18% | 36% | 20% | 26% | -5.2 | +7.9 | +4.9 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 44% | 22% | 19% | -16.4 | -8.7 | +31.9 | -6.8 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 30% | 52% | 13% | -3.2 | -12.7 | +18.8 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,600 from Takeuchi Genta | 2% | 11% | 79% | 8% | +9.1 | +1.1 | +3.4 | -13.6 |
| South 4 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 5% | 89% | 5% | -12.9 | -5.7 | -3.6 | +22.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 4% | 84% | 11% | -6.1 | +11.4 | +4.9 | -10.2 |