Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +29.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -3.4 | +1.0 | +15.5 | -13.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 25% | 35% | 19% | +2.2 | +3.2 | -5.5 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 28% | 31% | 17% | -2.0 | +6.3 | -4.2 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 6,000 | 22% | 33% | 27% | 18% | -9.1 | +26.1 | -7.1 | -9.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 55% | 20% | 11% | +25.7 | -16.8 | -4.6 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 10% | -11.0 | -9.9 | +29.1 | -8.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 29% | 40% | 8% | -10.4 | -11.1 | +29.1 | -7.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 12% | 15% | 68% | 5% | -3.8 | -4.4 | +5.6 | +2.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 9% | 11% | 75% | 5% | +4.0 | -2.4 | -1.6 | +0.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 10% | 11% | 75% | 4% | -1.2 | -4.2 | +1.9 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Draw | 11% | 7% | 77% | 5% | -3.0 | -1.8 | -1.8 | +6.6 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 8% | 76% | 7% | -7.1 | +24.4 | -4.3 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 7% | 19% | 71% | 3% | -1.8 | -3.3 | +12.3 | -7.2 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 2% | 10% | 88% | 1% | +0.7 | -2.9 | +12.6 | -10.4 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -13.8 | +3.2 | -0.2 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +1.8 | -2.7 | -0.8 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +2.8 | +7.2 | -2.1 | -7.9 |