Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/25 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+54.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +8.2 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -3.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 30% | 23% | 25% | 22% | +19.2 | -6.3 | -8.2 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 17% | 19% | 18% | -17.6 | -9.9 | +33.8 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 29% | 13% | 42% | 16% | -2.3 | -3.3 | +8.9 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 10% | 51% | 13% | +10.4 | -3.5 | -4.2 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 35% | 8% | 46% | 11% | -3.0 | -0.8 | +3.5 | +0.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 8% | 49% | 11% | -9.8 | +38.0 | -9.1 | -19.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 26% | 30% | 41% | 4% | +2.4 | +2.1 | -8.4 | +4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 33% | 33% | 6% | -17.7 | -9.8 | +33.8 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 16% | 72% | 3% | +2.4 | +5.9 | -6.7 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 23% | 63% | 3% | -1.5 | -11.7 | +3.3 | +9.9 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 11% | 11% | 72% | 6% | -4.8 | +12.5 | +2.4 | -10.0 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 6,800 from Hori Shingo | 4% | 13% | 80% | 3% | +2.2 | -18.7 | +2.4 | +14.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 4% | 5% | 85% | 7% | +16.1 | -8.1 | +4.6 | -12.6 |