Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/25 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+54.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +8.9 | -3.0 | -1.1 | -4.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 31% | 23% | 24% | 22% | +20.3 | -5.7 | -8.1 | -6.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 18% | 17% | 17% | -19.3 | -8.5 | +33.5 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 14% | 42% | 16% | -0.8 | -4.5 | +8.9 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 10% | 50% | 13% | +7.3 | -2.7 | -2.7 | -1.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 8% | 47% | 13% | -1.6 | -2.3 | +2.9 | +1.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 8% | 50% | 12% | -11.3 | +39.2 | -9.4 | -18.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 29% | 42% | 6% | +2.8 | +1.7 | -6.8 | +2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 31% | 35% | 7% | -16.4 | -8.7 | +31.2 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 17% | 72% | 3% | +3.2 | +5.4 | -7.4 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 24% | 61% | 3% | -1.0 | -10.6 | +4.6 | +7.0 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 10% | 13% | 72% | 5% | -5.5 | +11.2 | +2.6 | -8.3 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 6,800 from Shingo Hori | 4% | 14% | 79% | 3% | +1.5 | -19.4 | +2.6 | +15.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 4% | 3% | 85% | 7% | +16.5 | -7.6 | +4.8 | -13.7 |