Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 18,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +55.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -11.7 | +22.4 | -4.0 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 43% | 21% | 20% | -3.5 | -4.2 | +1.3 | +6.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 39% | 22% | 24% | +15.0 | -2.1 | -4.8 | -8.0 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 39% | 19% | 19% | -3.8 | -1.8 | -3.5 | +9.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 37% | 17% | 25% | +7.6 | -0.3 | -2.8 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 18,000 | 27% | 37% | 15% | 21% | +55.6 | -21.5 | -17.3 | -16.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 8% | 4% | 5% | -15.2 | -10.8 | -8.7 | +34.7 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,500 | 66% | 7% | 4% | 24% | +4.2 | -5.3 | -3.1 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 74% | 2% | 2% | 22% | +4.4 | +6.0 | -9.8 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 83% | 1% | 0% | 16% | +8.9 | -3.1 | -0.1 | -5.8 |