Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Namba Shibukawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +55.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -12.4 | +24.7 | -3.6 | -8.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 44% | 21% | 19% | -4.8 | -5.1 | +4.3 | +5.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 38% | 24% | 24% | +14.3 | +0.9 | -7.6 | -7.7 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 41% | 18% | 19% | -3.0 | -3.2 | -3.0 | +9.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 37% | 17% | 25% | +7.6 | -0.8 | -4.6 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 37% | 14% | 23% | +55.3 | -20.7 | -15.7 | -18.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 81% | 10% | 4% | 5% | -13.5 | -12.3 | -9.7 | +35.5 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,500 | 67% | 8% | 3% | 23% | +2.5 | -5.0 | -2.6 | +5.1 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 71% | 2% | 3% | 24% | +5.9 | +5.6 | -9.4 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 84% | 1% | 0% | 16% | +8.6 | -2.8 | -0.2 | -5.6 |