Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/28 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +59.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 23% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -31.9 | +32.8 | -1.3 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 50% | 21% | 23% | -1.1 | -2.9 | +5.7 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 6% | 47% | 24% | 22% | +3.5 | -3.5 | +1.9 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 45% | 26% | 21% | +2.7 | -6.1 | +1.5 | +1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 9% | 39% | 29% | 23% | -3.8 | -1.2 | -2.4 | +7.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Asami Maki ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 8% | 37% | 26% | 29% | -1.3 | -5.1 | -26.3 | +32.7 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Asami Maki | 5% | 28% | 9% | 58% | -1.4 | +9.1 | +0.5 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 38% | 9% | 48% | +34.3 | -10.0 | -12.2 | -12.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 32% | 7% | 39% | +52.4 | -18.3 | -13.4 | -20.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 12% | 3% | 14% | -8.2 | -11.3 | +26.7 | -7.2 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Asami Maki | 69% | 10% | 8% | 13% | -1.3 | +11.5 | +0.9 | -11.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 66% | 14% | 10% | 10% | +5.3 | -1.7 | -14.8 | +11.3 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 3,900 from Asai Takaki | 75% | 8% | 5% | 12% | -3.3 | +0.2 | -9.2 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 7% | 1% | 16% | -31.3 | +59.6 | -5.0 | -23.3 |