Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/28 Game 1
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +59.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -32.6 | +34.8 | -0.4 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 51% | 21% | 22% | -0.4 | -3.9 | +4.9 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 48% | 24% | 21% | +2.1 | -2.3 | +2.6 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 45% | 27% | 20% | +2.8 | -8.3 | +1.0 | +4.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 38% | 29% | 24% | -4.2 | +1.0 | -4.7 | +7.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Maki Asami ron 7,700 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 7% | 39% | 24% | 30% | -0.1 | -6.4 | -24.5 | +31.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Maki Asami | 6% | 28% | 9% | 57% | -2.2 | +8.2 | -0.4 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 35% | 8% | 52% | +35.1 | -8.0 | -11.6 | -15.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 33% | 7% | 39% | +53.3 | -20.9 | -12.5 | -19.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 74% | 10% | 3% | 13% | -11.3 | -8.3 | +27.5 | -7.9 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,900 from Maki Asami | 66% | 11% | 10% | 13% | -0.3 | +12.8 | -1.1 | -11.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 66% | 15% | 9% | 10% | +6.2 | -3.9 | -14.7 | +12.4 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai | 77% | 7% | 5% | 11% | -4.8 | 0.0 | -7.9 | +12.7 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 75% | 8% | 1% | 17% | -30.4 | +59.8 | -5.4 | -24.0 |