Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/28 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+72.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +48.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -16.1 | -10.2 | +33.4 | -7.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 17% | 51% | 19% | +4.1 | -5.4 | +2.5 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 13% | 54% | 18% | -6.1 | +18.0 | -7.3 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 12% | 25% | 47% | 16% | -1.1 | +0.2 | +8.0 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 11% | 22% | 57% | 10% | -23.0 | +22.1 | +0.5 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 38% | 53% | 7% | +3.2 | -0.1 | -1.3 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Kayamori Sayaka | 2% | 39% | 52% | 7% | -0.8 | -9.6 | +10.8 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 1% | 23% | 70% | 6% | -0.7 | -15.9 | +15.6 | +1.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 5% | 91% | 4% | +7.3 | +1.8 | +16.5 | -25.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -1.8 | +21.7 | -12.9 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 11% | 89% | 0% | +0.6 | +48.6 | -37.9 | -11.3 |