Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/28 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+72.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +48.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | -16.0 | -10.1 | +33.0 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 18% | 50% | 20% | +4.3 | -4.2 | +3.9 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 14% | 54% | 18% | -6.5 | +15.9 | -5.4 | -4.0 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,300 from Saki Kurosawa | 11% | 24% | 49% | 16% | -0.6 | +2.9 | +6.2 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 24% | 57% | 9% | -22.3 | +21.6 | -1.3 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 40% | 52% | 8% | +3.1 | -0.3 | +0.2 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,500 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 41% | 51% | 7% | -0.3 | -9.2 | +10.5 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 25% | 69% | 6% | -1.8 | -17.3 | +16.4 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 3% | 92% | 5% | +8.6 | +1.5 | +16.0 | -26.1 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -3.3 | +22.0 | -12.0 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 10% | 90% | 0% | +1.2 | +48.9 | -38.4 | -11.7 |