Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

10/29 Game 1

Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +36.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Suzuki Yu● Takamiya Mari● Uchikawa Kotaro● Matsugase Takaya0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Suzuki● Takamiya● Uchikawa● Matsugase
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Matsugase Takaya
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Matsugase Takaya
Expected pt change
East 1Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari24%25%25%26%+0.5-11.5+12.8-1.8
East 2Draw23%18%36%23%-3.5+4.9-3.9+2.5
East 2, 1 honbaTakamiya Mari tsumo 6,00021%21%32%26%-5.8+20.5-6.8-7.9
East 2, 2 honbaDraw18%35%27%20%+6.8-5.3-1.5+0.1
East 3, 3 honbaTakamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya22%30%26%22%-2.0+22.8-4.0-16.8
East 4Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya18%50%20%12%+24.9-1.8-0.6-22.5
South 1Draw34%45%17%3%+6.4-7.1+3.7-2.9
South 1, 1 honbaMatsugase Takaya tsumo 8,00041%37%20%3%-12.2+1.6-6.9+17.5
South 2Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,00031%42%18%8%-0.7-7.8+14.5-6.0
South 3Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari32%34%28%6%+36.9-31.8-4.0-1.1
South 4Draw84%4%8%4%+6.2+1.4+2.3-9.9

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)