Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/29 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.4 | -9.5 | +14.5 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 19% | 35% | 23% | -3.8 | +3.6 | -2.5 | +2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 21% | 34% | 24% | -5.3 | +19.8 | -9.6 | -4.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 34% | 26% | 22% | +6.8 | -2.6 | -3.2 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 23% | 32% | 23% | 22% | -1.1 | +19.0 | -0.7 | -17.1 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 19% | 49% | 20% | 12% | +22.6 | +1.2 | +0.2 | -24.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 48% | 18% | 3% | +7.9 | -6.4 | +0.3 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 39% | 17% | 3% | -10.9 | -1.9 | -5.5 | +18.4 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 42% | 17% | 8% | -1.9 | -5.6 | +14.0 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 31% | 36% | 27% | 6% | +36.8 | -33.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 4% | 8% | 4% | +6.5 | +1.2 | +1.7 | -9.4 |