Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/29 Game 2
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+82.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -11.5 | -4.0 | -4.9 | +20.4 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 20% | 21% | 43% | -10.8 | +30.2 | -8.8 | -10.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 43% | 16% | 32% | -0.3 | -2.6 | -2.7 | +5.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 40% | 15% | 36% | -4.8 | -7.1 | -14.3 | +26.2 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 27% | 5% | 61% | +20.4 | -1.3 | -8.3 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 28% | 5% | 52% | -13.2 | -1.0 | +9.1 | +5.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 6% | 27% | 7% | 60% | +1.0 | -1.3 | -5.0 | +5.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 21% | 5% | 69% | +1.4 | +3.2 | -7.5 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 4,800 from Date Arisa | 4% | 20% | 1% | 76% | +0.1 | -5.1 | -9.3 | +14.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 5% | 0% | 94% | -4.8 | -6.4 | -4.2 | +15.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 4,800 from Date Arisa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.8 | -1.5 | -7.1 | +6.9 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.5 | -0.2 | +3.8 | -1.1 |