Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/31 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +56.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +31.1 | -0.3 | -29.5 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 21% | 9% | 22% | -10.3 | -7.7 | +19.3 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 42% | 19% | 17% | 22% | +1.6 | -0.6 | +21.1 | -22.0 |
| East 3 | Asai Takaki tsumo 5,200 | 42% | 17% | 30% | 12% | -2.7 | +15.1 | -10.5 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Asai Takaki | 39% | 27% | 21% | 13% | +2.4 | -6.2 | +12.4 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 22% | 30% | 6% | -14.9 | -8.5 | +27.8 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,200 | 21% | 14% | 61% | 4% | -3.3 | -8.4 | +14.5 | -2.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 10% | 4% | 83% | 3% | +6.7 | -3.5 | -1.7 | -1.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 1% | 83% | 3% | +3.9 | -1.4 | -4.2 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 19% | 1% | 77% | 3% | +3.1 | -2.4 | -5.0 | +4.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 26% | 3% | 66% | 5% | -50.0 | -6.7 | +5.5 | +51.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 1% | 81% | 17% | -5.5 | -11.8 | -38.7 | +56.1 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +11.6 | -7.8 | +0.4 | -4.2 |