Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/31 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +55.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +33.3 | -1.9 | -29.4 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 20% | 8% | 21% | -9.7 | -4.0 | +17.8 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 44% | 18% | 18% | 20% | +0.2 | -1.5 | +22.0 | -20.7 |
| East 3 | Takaki Asai tsumo 5,200 | 41% | 17% | 30% | 11% | -2.3 | +17.6 | -10.6 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,600 from Takaki Asai | 41% | 29% | 21% | 9% | -0.5 | -9.4 | +14.8 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 22% | 32% | 7% | -14.2 | -7.2 | +25.2 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,200 | 20% | 14% | 61% | 5% | -2.3 | -8.5 | +13.8 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 4% | 81% | 4% | +6.2 | -3.4 | -0.5 | -2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 1% | 84% | 3% | +4.5 | -3.2 | -4.0 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 1% | 77% | 3% | +6.2 | -0.8 | -7.6 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 30% | 3% | 62% | 5% | -52.9 | -7.4 | +7.1 | +53.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 0% | 81% | 18% | -5.6 | -11.1 | -38.3 | +55.1 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +11.9 | -8.1 | +0.4 | -4.3 |