Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/1 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +44.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Kazunori Takizawa● Aki Nikaido● Go Kobayashi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Takaharu● Kazunori● Aki● Go
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%23%25%26%-4.8+0.9+5.8-2.0
East 2, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,00023%24%28%26%+26.7-14.5-5.9-6.2
East 3Exhaustive draw43%14%24%20%+7.9-1.3-3.2-3.3
East 4, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi50%13%20%17%-0.9-0.6+18.6-17.1
South 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,00049%12%31%8%-27.2-9.7+44.5-7.6
South 2Exhaustive draw9%3%85%3%-1.4+4.6+0.1-3.3
South 2, 1 honbaAki Nikaido tsumo 6,0008%4%86%3%-8.1+17.8-5.1-4.6
South 2, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi7%10%80%3%-0.1-2.4+8.7-6.2
South 3Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,0003%2%94%2%-9.2+22.5-7.7-5.6
South 4Exhaustive draw1%10%88%1%+0.5+6.8-9.4+2.0
South 4, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido3%25%71%2%-2.1-12.4+19.7-5.2

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)