Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/1 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 16,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 25% | 28% | -1.7 | -1.7 | +6.9 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 23% | 31% | 25% | +25.7 | -12.3 | -7.0 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 42% | 14% | 24% | 21% | +8.9 | -0.9 | -4.5 | -3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 52% | 13% | 18% | 17% | +1.2 | -2.8 | +19.8 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 16,000 | 52% | 10% | 30% | 8% | -29.9 | -8.6 | +45.4 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 4% | 85% | 3% | -2.8 | +6.2 | -1.6 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 6% | 84% | 2% | -5.7 | +16.5 | -4.0 | -6.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 7% | 11% | 80% | 3% | -0.3 | -2.2 | +8.5 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 3% | 94% | 1% | -11.3 | +22.4 | -7.2 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 12% | 86% | 1% | +1.8 | +6.7 | -8.7 | +0.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 2% | 25% | 72% | 1% | -2.0 | -12.8 | +19.3 | -4.5 |