Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/4 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.9 | +10.1 | -2.0 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 31% | 24% | 25% | -11.0 | +32.1 | -8.6 | -12.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 60% | 14% | 15% | -7.6 | -15.8 | -8.1 | +31.5 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 43% | 14% | 35% | +3.6 | +2.9 | -6.2 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 47% | 9% | 35% | -3.2 | 0.0 | +5.7 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 10% | 47% | 11% | 32% | -5.0 | +0.4 | -9.6 | +14.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 44% | 6% | 46% | -1.9 | -1.2 | +4.0 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 45% | 8% | 44% | -6.7 | -15.6 | -9.8 | +32.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 6% | 0% | 94% | -7.3 | -0.1 | +9.2 | -1.8 |