Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/4 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -7.6 | +10.9 | -3.2 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 33% | 23% | 24% | -8.5 | +30.2 | -8.3 | -13.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 59% | 15% | 13% | -10.1 | -16.4 | -6.7 | +33.1 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 41% | 14% | 36% | +2.7 | +3.5 | -6.2 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 9% | 45% | 9% | 36% | -3.1 | +0.8 | +4.8 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 9% | 47% | 11% | 34% | -5.1 | +0.4 | -7.7 | +12.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 4% | 45% | 7% | 45% | -2.5 | -1.2 | +4.1 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 45% | 9% | 44% | -4.6 | -15.3 | -12.3 | +32.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 7% | 0% | 93% | -8.3 | -0.2 | +10.0 | -1.5 |