Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/4 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+40.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -15.7 | -3.7 | +24.4 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 15% | 20% | 44% | 21% | -25.5 | -4.9 | +29.7 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 4% | 10% | 72% | 14% | -2.9 | +35.2 | -30.5 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 4% | 41% | 39% | 17% | -1.1 | +8.0 | -3.2 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 50% | 34% | 13% | +4.6 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 47% | 35% | 13% | -10.2 | +24.9 | -9.2 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 79% | 15% | 5% | -1.6 | +1.2 | -24.0 | +24.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 84% | 5% | 11% | +0.6 | -1.6 | +4.5 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 82% | 8% | 10% | -5.5 | -8.9 | -16.4 | +30.8 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 66% | 0% | 34% | -3.1 | -6.1 | +3.4 | +5.8 |