Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/4 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+40.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -15.0 | -5.9 | +24.0 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 15% | 21% | 44% | 21% | -24.8 | -1.7 | +27.9 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 3% | 12% | 71% | 14% | -2.2 | +33.4 | -32.1 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 4% | 42% | 35% | 18% | -1.6 | +7.5 | +0.4 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 50% | 35% | 12% | +4.7 | -3.7 | -1.6 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 46% | 35% | 14% | -11.8 | +27.5 | -9.4 | -6.4 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 80% | 15% | 5% | -1.4 | +1.2 | -24.8 | +25.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 85% | 4% | 11% | +0.9 | -2.9 | +5.3 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 82% | 8% | 10% | -5.7 | -10.3 | -15.7 | +31.6 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 64% | 0% | 36% | -2.7 | -4.7 | +3.1 | +4.2 |