Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/5 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +37.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -1.9 | -3.6 | +4.7 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 22% | 29% | 26% | -2.0 | -3.1 | -0.4 | +5.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 19% | 28% | 30% | +2.1 | +1.7 | +3.6 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 19% | 32% | 25% | +4.3 | +0.1 | -5.6 | +1.2 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kana Nakada ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 28% | 21% | 26% | 25% | -3.8 | -8.8 | +20.5 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 22% | 16% | 44% | 18% | -30.7 | +27.5 | +3.8 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 31% | 48% | 17% | +5.9 | -3.5 | +0.5 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 7% | 27% | 50% | 16% | -22.8 | +37.7 | -13.7 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 78% | 14% | 9% | -2.6 | +10.9 | -2.1 | -6.3 |