Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/5 Game 1

Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +37.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Daigo Hiroshi● Takamiya Mari● Nakada Kana● Nikaido Rumi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Daigo● Takamiya● Nakada● Nikaido
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
1st-place chance
Nikaido Rumi
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
Nikaido Rumi
Expected pt change
East 1Draw26%25%26%22%-5.6-3.4+5.3+3.7
East 2, 1 honbaDraw22%23%29%26%+0.1-3.3-1.8+5.0
East 3, 2 honbaDraw22%21%28%30%+1.3+1.2+2.7-5.1
East 3, 3 honbaDraw23%21%31%26%+5.1-0.7-5.4+1.0
East 4, 4 honbaNakada Kana ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi26%22%25%27%-4.0-9.6+23.5-9.9
South 1Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari21%14%47%18%-30.2+28.6+1.3+0.3
South 2Draw5%32%47%17%+5.7-3.3+1.6-4.0
South 3, 1 honbaDaigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari7%28%49%16%-22.8+37.3-14.1-0.4
South 4Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari0%77%15%8%-2.4+11.3-2.5-6.4

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)