Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +26.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,300 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 0.0 | -3.7 | -1.6 | +5.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -1.3 | -4.4 | +4.3 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 23% | 21% | 28% | 28% | +26.5 | -1.0 | -0.4 | -25.1 |
| East 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 44% | 17% | 25% | 13% | +3.1 | +1.7 | -2.9 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 48% | 18% | 23% | 11% | -2.3 | +7.3 | -1.5 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 21% | 23% | 10% | -7.7 | -17.9 | +34.5 | -8.9 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 32% | 7% | 55% | 6% | +20.2 | -1.8 | -13.7 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 63% | 3% | 30% | 4% | +17.3 | -0.3 | -8.9 | -8.1 |