Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -3.6 | +1.0 | -1.7 | +4.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 25% | 24% | 28% | -0.2 | -8.5 | +9.9 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 23% | 18% | 31% | 28% | +26.2 | +1.9 | -5.6 | -22.6 |
| East 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 44% | 19% | 23% | 14% | +2.8 | +1.5 | +0.4 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 18% | 23% | 11% | -1.7 | +8.4 | -4.5 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 23% | 20% | 11% | -9.4 | -19.0 | +37.4 | -9.0 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 30% | 8% | 57% | 5% | +22.1 | -1.6 | -15.2 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 63% | 4% | 29% | 4% | +17.0 | -1.1 | -8.5 | -7.4 |