Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/7 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +41.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -2.7 | -3.8 | +2.4 | +4.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 23% | 25% | 28% | -2.3 | +3.6 | +0.7 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -1.0 | -3.0 | +0.7 | +3.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 22% | 26% | 30% | -5.3 | -3.4 | +12.5 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,600 from Okada Sayaka | 18% | 20% | 36% | 27% | +14.3 | -6.8 | -3.1 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 17% | 32% | 23% | -13.0 | -10.0 | -13.7 | +36.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 16% | 10% | 19% | 55% | -1.7 | -0.1 | +8.5 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,900 from Okada Sayaka | 16% | 11% | 26% | 48% | +8.9 | -7.7 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 7,700 from Shiratori Sho | 20% | 8% | 25% | 48% | +30.7 | -2.0 | -25.9 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 3,000 | 46% | 6% | 9% | 40% | +9.2 | -2.6 | -1.2 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 57% | 5% | 8% | 30% | -0.7 | +1.0 | -0.6 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 56% | 5% | 8% | 32% | -1.8 | +8.2 | -9.3 | +2.9 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 55% | 6% | 5% | 34% | +5.9 | -17.7 | +12.4 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 65% | 0% | 6% | 29% | -4.3 | +1.3 | +3.1 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 58% | 1% | 9% | 32% | -0.2 | -0.8 | +41.5 | -40.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 1% | 33% | 8% | -24.8 | -4.2 | +37.6 | -8.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 0% | 87% | 3% | -4.6 | -7.3 | -4.2 | +16.1 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 5% | 0% | 89% | 6% | +9.4 | 0.0 | +5.2 | -14.6 |