Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/7 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Suzuki Taro tsumo 24,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +65.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +9.5 | +1.0 | -1.9 | -8.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 31% | 25% | 24% | 20% | +11.4 | -1.8 | -7.7 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 40% | 23% | 18% | 19% | -1.2 | +20.7 | -22.2 | +2.8 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 37% | 37% | 8% | 18% | -4.8 | +2.7 | +7.0 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 24,000 | 32% | 41% | 11% | 16% | -22.6 | -26.0 | +65.3 | -16.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 15% | 16% | 60% | 9% | -1.7 | -3.2 | +1.1 | +3.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 14% | 62% | 10% | +1.6 | +0.6 | +0.9 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 13% | 15% | 65% | 7% | -13.0 | -0.1 | +5.8 | +7.3 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 4% | 13% | 74% | 8% | +1.3 | +10.9 | -1.5 | -10.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 18% | 72% | 5% | -2.4 | -12.1 | +20.7 | -6.3 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | -5.6 | +18.2 | -6.2 | -6.3 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 5% | 93% | 2% | +9.7 | +0.3 | +3.5 | -13.4 |