Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/7 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 24,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +61.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +12.7 | +1.3 | -2.5 | -11.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 24% | 23% | 18% | +8.6 | -1.3 | -8.2 | +0.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 40% | 24% | 19% | 18% | -1.6 | +20.4 | -19.4 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 37% | 37% | 9% | 17% | -5.1 | +1.1 | +7.2 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 24,000 | 33% | 40% | 12% | 16% | -22.1 | -24.1 | +61.9 | -15.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 16% | 17% | 58% | 9% | +0.7 | -3.7 | +0.4 | +2.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 15% | 60% | 10% | -0.5 | +0.9 | +3.3 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 14% | 15% | 65% | 7% | -13.0 | -1.8 | +5.8 | +9.0 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 5% | 11% | 75% | 8% | -0.4 | +12.8 | -1.6 | -10.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 19% | 71% | 5% | -2.7 | -11.8 | +21.2 | -6.7 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | -4.1 | +17.2 | -6.4 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 4% | 94% | 1% | +9.1 | +0.7 | +2.9 | -12.7 |