Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/8 Game 1
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +26.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -7.4 | +12.1 | +1.3 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Asai Takaki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 32% | 27% | 20% | -4.3 | -15.2 | +24.4 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 21% | 46% | 17% | -7.7 | -10.2 | +26.1 | -8.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 10% | 72% | 9% | +8.7 | -0.5 | -3.6 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Asai Takaki ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 11% | 11% | 70% | 8% | +1.8 | -1.5 | +7.7 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 9% | 7% | 80% | 4% | -5.0 | -23.8 | +3.3 | +25.5 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 4% | 2% | 86% | 8% | +8.7 | -4.4 | +2.4 | -6.7 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 92% | 5% | -6.3 | +24.8 | -3.8 | -14.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 94% | 5% | +24.6 | -5.2 | 0.0 | -19.4 |