Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/8 Game 1
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +29.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -6.6 | +15.4 | -2.2 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Takaki Asai tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 33% | 25% | 21% | -2.8 | -16.3 | +26.0 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 21% | 44% | 16% | -11.0 | -9.9 | +29.9 | -9.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 9% | 74% | 8% | +10.1 | -3.5 | -4.2 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Takaki Asai ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 12% | 9% | 72% | 8% | +0.3 | +1.6 | +6.2 | -8.1 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 9% | 7% | 80% | 3% | -5.3 | -23.4 | +3.8 | +24.9 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 3% | 3% | 86% | 7% | +9.0 | -6.0 | +2.7 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 92% | 5% | -6.0 | +25.3 | -3.7 | -15.7 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 4% | +24.7 | -4.8 | -0.7 | -19.3 |