Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/8 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +49.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -2.5 | +0.7 | +2.3 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -5.9 | +14.2 | -2.6 | -5.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 37% | 24% | 21% | +23.8 | -12.6 | -5.5 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 36% | 25% | 20% | 19% | +11.4 | +1.2 | -2.5 | -10.1 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 47% | 24% | 17% | 12% | -0.4 | -2.5 | +14.6 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 46% | 22% | 25% | 7% | -1.4 | -4.1 | +4.4 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 20% | 27% | 7% | -18.6 | +45.5 | -17.0 | -9.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 19% | 65% | 12% | 4% | +4.8 | -4.2 | +3.2 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 22% | 61% | 14% | 3% | +0.4 | +8.8 | -41.7 | +32.6 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 7,800 | 15% | 78% | 0% | 8% | -8.2 | -7.9 | -4.5 | +20.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 14% | 68% | 0% | 18% | -32.8 | -20.0 | +3.6 | +49.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,600 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 14% | 0% | 86% | +6.1 | -4.8 | -5.8 | +4.5 |