Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/11 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+79.3pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +5.7 | -0.7 | -2.7 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 23% | 23% | 25% | -1.8 | -1.2 | +6.0 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 28% | 24% | 27% | 22% | -34.5 | +32.6 | +1.9 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 48% | 24% | 20% | -3.5 | +2.3 | -1.5 | +2.8 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 48% | 23% | 21% | -2.9 | -11.9 | -6.9 | +21.8 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 7% | 36% | 20% | 38% | -0.3 | +1.6 | +31.6 | -32.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 6% | 37% | 43% | 14% | -1.7 | -2.7 | +0.7 | +3.7 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 5% | 35% | 44% | 16% | -0.1 | +8.5 | +0.5 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 5% | 42% | 44% | 10% | -17.4 | -5.4 | +21.8 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 26% | 69% | 6% | -4.1 | +32.0 | -19.8 | -8.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 67% | 30% | 3% | +0.9 | +16.7 | -6.0 | -11.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,800 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 85% | 14% | 1% | +4.8 | +10.8 | -2.9 | -12.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 93% | 7% | 0% | -16.7 | -1.4 | -0.1 | +18.1 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 93% | 6% | 1% | -0.4 | -4.9 | +5.3 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 89% | 11% | 1% | +5.7 | +4.7 | -5.8 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 98% | 2% | 0% | +26.4 | -0.8 | -1.6 | -24.1 |