Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/11 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+79.3pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +7.0 | -1.9 | -2.7 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 23% | 22% | 24% | -4.9 | -2.2 | +8.1 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 28% | 22% | 27% | 23% | -34.3 | +34.9 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 8% | 47% | 25% | 21% | -2.0 | +1.8 | -1.8 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 48% | 24% | 21% | -2.9 | -10.1 | -6.9 | +19.9 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 7% | 38% | 19% | 36% | -2.1 | -1.4 | +33.0 | -29.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 6% | 35% | 44% | 16% | -1.6 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +2.0 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 5% | 35% | 44% | 16% | -0.5 | +5.5 | +2.5 | -7.6 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 4% | 39% | 46% | 10% | -16.7 | -2.5 | +19.3 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 26% | 68% | 6% | -3.8 | +33.4 | -21.6 | -8.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 71% | 26% | 3% | +1.9 | +14.6 | -3.5 | -13.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,800 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 85% | 14% | 0% | +3.1 | +9.8 | -1.7 | -11.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 91% | 9% | 0% | -16.3 | +0.3 | -1.7 | +17.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 94% | 6% | 1% | +0.1 | -4.4 | +4.1 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 91% | 9% | 0% | +5.5 | +3.3 | -3.9 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 98% | 2% | 0% | +26.3 | -0.5 | -2.3 | -23.5 |