Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +20.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -3.4 | -19.3 | +20.5 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,300 from Honda Tomohiro | 19% | 14% | 40% | 27% | +2.1 | -7.7 | +8.7 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 21% | 9% | 47% | 22% | +22.0 | -18.3 | -5.1 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 36% | 3% | 39% | 21% | -2.6 | +7.4 | +2.5 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 34% | 6% | 44% | 17% | +0.5 | -6.9 | +1.5 | +4.9 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Nakada Kana | 34% | 3% | 45% | 18% | -7.5 | +4.9 | +1.6 | +1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana | 27% | 4% | 49% | 20% | -8.3 | +6.1 | +0.7 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,000 | 21% | 7% | 50% | 22% | -2.4 | +7.7 | -1.7 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 9% | 50% | 19% | -2.8 | -10.1 | +16.6 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 12% | 2% | 72% | 14% | -5.4 | -5.3 | +0.9 | +9.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 1,500 | 6% | 0% | 79% | 15% | +13.3 | -4.0 | +9.1 | -18.3 |