Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +18.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -1.2 | -19.6 | +18.4 | +2.5 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,300 from Tomohiro Honda | 23% | 14% | 39% | 25% | 0.0 | -8.1 | +9.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 20% | 9% | 47% | 23% | +21.8 | -18.6 | -4.5 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 3% | 39% | 23% | -0.6 | +7.9 | +2.1 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 36% | 5% | 43% | 16% | 0.0 | -6.1 | +0.5 | +5.7 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,500 from Kana Nakada | 35% | 4% | 43% | 18% | -8.4 | +4.7 | +3.0 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 27% | 5% | 49% | 19% | -6.2 | +4.2 | +0.8 | +1.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,000 | 23% | 5% | 51% | 21% | -4.3 | +9.1 | -2.2 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 2,700 | 20% | 10% | 50% | 20% | -1.8 | -9.2 | +15.6 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 2% | 71% | 14% | -5.8 | -6.0 | +2.4 | +9.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 0% | 80% | 15% | +12.7 | -4.0 | +8.7 | -17.4 |