Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+53.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 22% | 26% | 25% | -5.9 | +9.0 | -2.6 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 22% | 29% | 25% | 25% | +10.6 | -0.5 | -9.3 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 28% | 28% | 20% | 24% | -21.7 | +1.3 | -3.4 | +23.9 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 14% | 28% | 15% | 43% | -1.3 | -24.0 | +25.4 | -0.1 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 13% | 13% | 31% | 42% | -20.0 | +14.6 | +2.7 | +2.7 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 4% | 18% | 32% | 46% | -1.6 | +15.1 | -8.1 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 32% | 26% | 38% | -1.7 | +8.6 | -6.1 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 39% | 20% | 38% | +2.9 | +7.4 | -3.1 | -7.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 49% | 18% | 29% | -7.6 | -18.8 | +34.6 | -8.3 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 25% | 53% | 22% | +1.7 | +1.2 | +5.3 | -8.2 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 1% | 20% | 64% | 15% | +51.1 | -55.4 | +16.4 | -12.1 |