Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+53.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -6.1 | +6.8 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 20% | 30% | 23% | 27% | +11.0 | 0.0 | -10.4 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 28% | 28% | 18% | 26% | -21.7 | +0.2 | -1.4 | +22.9 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 14% | 28% | 15% | 43% | -2.0 | -23.8 | +24.1 | +1.7 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 12% | 13% | 30% | 46% | -18.5 | +16.7 | +2.0 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 3,900 | 4% | 21% | 31% | 45% | -3.4 | +11.3 | -4.7 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 29% | 28% | 40% | -1.4 | +10.4 | -5.8 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 38% | 23% | 36% | +3.9 | +5.8 | -5.3 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 46% | 19% | 30% | -6.8 | -16.7 | +34.4 | -10.9 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 2% | 24% | 52% | 21% | +0.7 | +0.6 | +6.3 | -7.7 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 18% | 66% | 16% | +51.2 | -54.9 | +15.7 | -12.0 |