Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 18,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +40.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +15.8 | -5.5 | -6.6 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 18,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 36% | 20% | 22% | 22% | +40.7 | +0.1 | -0.9 | -40.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 69% | 13% | 13% | 4% | -5.7 | +4.3 | -0.2 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 66% | 17% | 13% | 4% | +1.6 | -8.3 | -2.5 | +9.2 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 7,800 | 70% | 10% | 13% | 7% | -5.6 | -8.8 | +23.1 | -8.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 62% | 7% | 26% | 4% | +2.0 | +12.2 | -13.7 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 67% | 13% | 16% | 4% | +8.0 | +0.5 | +0.9 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 6,000 | 76% | 10% | 12% | 1% | +11.2 | -4.2 | -5.6 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 88% | 5% | 6% | 1% | -1.0 | +4.6 | -1.3 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,900 | 89% | 5% | 5% | 1% | -2.7 | +8.3 | -2.8 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 85% | 8% | 6% | 1% | -2.5 | +3.0 | +0.8 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,300 from Daigo Hiroshi | 82% | 12% | 6% | 0% | +0.3 | -5.4 | +6.4 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 4,500 from Hinata Aiko | 87% | 5% | 8% | 1% | +3.7 | +12.0 | -15.4 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 95% | 5% | 0% | 0% | +2.2 | +1.4 | -0.7 | -2.9 |