Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 18,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +39.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +15.8 | -5.6 | -5.2 | -5.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 18,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 35% | 23% | 21% | 21% | +39.1 | -1.1 | +0.1 | -38.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 69% | 13% | 14% | 4% | -3.1 | +3.7 | -1.1 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 68% | 15% | 13% | 4% | +0.6 | -8.2 | +0.1 | +7.5 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 7,800 | 71% | 10% | 14% | 5% | -7.3 | -5.2 | +18.8 | -6.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 61% | 9% | 25% | 5% | +4.2 | +9.5 | -11.0 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 68% | 12% | 16% | 4% | +7.8 | +0.7 | -0.6 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 6,000 | 77% | 10% | 12% | 2% | +10.5 | -4.0 | -3.4 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 87% | 5% | 7% | 1% | -1.2 | +5.0 | -3.3 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,900 | 89% | 6% | 5% | 1% | -3.3 | +8.7 | -2.5 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 84% | 9% | 6% | 1% | -0.1 | +0.4 | +1.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 1,300 from Hiroshi Daigo | 84% | 9% | 7% | 1% | -0.9 | -4.1 | +6.3 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 4,500 from Aiko Hinata | 88% | 4% | 8% | 1% | +2.7 | +12.8 | -15.6 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 94% | 5% | 0% | 0% | +2.8 | +1.2 | -0.3 | -3.7 |