Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+51.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +0.8 | +2.7 | +2.5 | -5.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Sugawara Hiroe | 26% | 28% | 26% | 20% | +10.8 | -0.1 | -10.1 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 34% | 26% | 20% | 21% | -2.5 | +3.9 | +0.7 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 32% | 30% | 20% | 19% | +2.9 | -15.8 | +17.1 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 34% | 18% | 31% | 17% | -13.5 | +1.0 | +10.7 | +1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 23% | 18% | 42% | 17% | +25.4 | +2.0 | -24.8 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 6,400 from Sugawara Hiroe | 45% | 19% | 21% | 15% | +0.6 | +17.2 | -15.2 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 46% | 29% | 12% | 13% | +2.6 | -26.2 | -3.8 | +27.4 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,700 | 49% | 13% | 10% | 28% | +0.8 | -10.1 | -3.7 | +13.0 |
| South 3 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 3,000 | 50% | 4% | 8% | 39% | -2.1 | -4.2 | +9.0 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Sugawara Hiroe | 48% | 4% | 11% | 37% | +9.1 | +8.7 | -18.3 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 65% | 4% | 1% | 30% | +15.7 | +10.1 | -14.7 | -11.1 |