Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+51.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +2.2 | +2.1 | +3.8 | -8.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Hiroe Sugawara | 27% | 26% | 28% | 19% | +8.7 | -0.5 | -9.7 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 33% | 26% | 21% | 20% | -0.9 | +5.8 | 0.0 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 32% | 30% | 20% | 19% | +2.3 | -16.8 | +15.6 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 34% | 18% | 31% | 17% | -13.9 | +1.2 | +12.9 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 22% | 18% | 44% | 16% | +26.4 | +0.1 | -26.8 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 6,400 from Hiroe Sugawara | 46% | 17% | 20% | 17% | +1.7 | +19.7 | -18.5 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 47% | 31% | 9% | 13% | +1.2 | -29.7 | -0.4 | +28.9 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,700 | 49% | 10% | 10% | 30% | +2.3 | -7.0 | -4.2 | +9.0 |
| South 3 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 3,000 | 51% | 5% | 8% | 36% | -1.7 | -5.6 | +9.0 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,600 from Hiroe Sugawara | 51% | 4% | 10% | 35% | +7.9 | +9.3 | -17.8 | +0.5 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 66% | 4% | 2% | 29% | +15.4 | +10.0 | -14.6 | -10.8 |