Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/15 Game 1

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+86.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 4 honba: Shingo Hori ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +36.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance	Shingo Hori 1st-place chance	Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance	Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance	Sho Shiratori Expected pt change	Shingo Hori Expected pt change	Yu Suzuki Expected pt change	Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change
East 1	Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Genta Takeuchi	25%	25%	25%	25%	-2.6	+3.3	+1.7	-2.4
East 2	Exhaustive draw	22%	28%	26%	25%	-0.4	+6.3	-2.8	-3.0
East 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	23%	32%	24%	22%	-5.4	+4.9	+4.8	-4.4
East 2, 2 honba	Shingo Hori tsumo 6,000	19%	35%	26%	20%	-5.9	+15.6	-6.1	-3.6
East 2, 3 honba	Exhaustive draw	14%	49%	21%	16%	-2.6	+5.8	-0.6	-2.7
East 2, 4 honba	Shingo Hori ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori	12%	54%	19%	15%	-36.6	+36.4	+0.1	0.0
East 2, 5 honba	Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000	1%	85%	9%	5%	-2.1	-5.3	+11.0	-3.6
East 3	Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki	1%	81%	13%	5%	-0.2	+9.3	-9.5	+0.3
East 4	Exhaustive draw	0%	91%	5%	3%	-1.4	+4.0	+0.8	-3.3
South 1, 1 honba	Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori	0%	95%	3%	2%	-6.2	+3.3	+1.3	+1.6
South 2	Exhaustive draw	0%	97%	2%	1%	-1.7	+1.7	-2.6	+2.7
South 2, 1 honba	Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori	0%	98%	2%	1%	-0.1	-3.2	+4.3	-1.0
South 3	Genta Takeuchi ron 3,200 from Yu Suzuki	0%	97%	2%	1%	-0.6	+0.9	-5.4	+5.1
South 4	Exhaustive draw	0%	99%	0%	1%	-1.1	-0.7	-7.8	+9.6
South 4, 1 honba	Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki	0%	100%	0%	1%	+0.2	+3.4	-10.0	+6.5

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)