Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/15 Game 1

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+86.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 4 honba: Hori Shingo ron 18,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +36.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance	Hori Shingo 1st-place chance	Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance	Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance	Shiratori Sho Expected pt change	Hori Shingo Expected pt change	Suzuki Yu Expected pt change	Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change
East 1	Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Takeuchi Genta	25%	25%	25%	25%	-2.0	+1.8	+2.7	-2.5
East 2	Draw	22%	27%	27%	24%	-2.0	+8.0	-4.4	-1.6
East 2, 1 honba	Draw	22%	33%	23%	22%	-3.9	+5.3	+3.1	-4.5
East 2, 2 honba	Hori Shingo tsumo 6,000	19%	35%	27%	20%	-8.2	+18.2	-4.4	-5.7
East 2, 3 honba	Draw	12%	52%	22%	15%	-2.3	+3.6	+2.5	-3.8
East 2, 4 honba	Hori Shingo ron 18,000 from Shiratori Sho	11%	54%	22%	14%	-35.4	+36.4	-2.9	+1.9
East 2, 5 honba	Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000	1%	86%	8%	5%	-3.4	-4.2	+11.9	-4.2
East 3	Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu	1%	82%	14%	4%	+1.7	+7.0	-9.8	+1.1
East 4	Draw	1%	90%	5%	4%	-1.3	+4.7	+0.1	-3.5
South 1, 1 honba	Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho	0%	95%	4%	1%	-6.6	+2.6	+0.7	+3.2
South 2	Draw	0%	97%	2%	1%	-1.2	+2.8	-3.4	+1.8
South 2, 1 honba	Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo	0%	99%	1%	1%	-0.8	-3.7	+4.6	-0.1
South 3	Takeuchi Genta ron 3,200 from Suzuki Yu	0%	97%	2%	1%	-0.6	+1.4	-4.6	+3.8
South 4	Draw	0%	99%	0%	1%	-0.9	-1.1	-7.3	+9.3
South 4, 1 honba	Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu	0%	99%	0%	1%	+0.1	+3.6	-10.5	+6.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)