Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/18 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -0.9 | -3.9 | +0.2 | +4.6 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,900 from Nakada Kana | 24% | 23% | 25% | 29% | -1.7 | +9.0 | -1.3 | -6.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 22% | 28% | 24% | 26% | +1.3 | -3.4 | +24.9 | -22.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,000 | 20% | 24% | 44% | 13% | -1.6 | -0.2 | +4.5 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 23% | 46% | 11% | +32.2 | -32.7 | -1.3 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana | 44% | 6% | 40% | 10% | +2.8 | +4.7 | +1.6 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 7% | 41% | 5% | -11.9 | -8.4 | -0.3 | +20.6 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 36% | 6% | 46% | 13% | -25.5 | -6.6 | +4.5 | +27.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 1% | 53% | 31% | -9.4 | -4.1 | +31.4 | -18.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 2% | 0% | 92% | 6% | +1.8 | -18.4 | +15.6 | +1.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +18.1 | -2.2 | -4.8 | -11.2 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +3.9 | +8.6 | +1.2 | -13.7 |