Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/18 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +29.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kana Nakada ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.3 | -3.9 | -0.4 | +8.7 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,900 from Kana Nakada | 21% | 23% | 25% | 31% | +2.4 | +8.3 | -0.8 | -10.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 23% | 28% | 25% | 24% | -0.7 | -2.5 | +21.2 | -18.0 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 21% | 25% | 40% | 15% | -0.5 | -3.1 | +8.3 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 20% | 21% | 48% | 12% | +32.0 | -28.5 | -3.6 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 45% | 7% | 39% | 10% | +1.6 | +3.7 | +3.2 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 7% | 41% | 6% | -8.8 | -7.4 | -2.3 | +18.5 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 39% | 6% | 43% | 12% | -27.9 | -8.0 | +6.9 | +29.0 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 2% | 54% | 31% | -9.0 | -5.5 | +29.9 | -15.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 2% | 0% | 89% | 9% | +2.5 | -17.2 | +16.9 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +17.7 | -2.1 | -4.9 | -10.7 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +3.5 | +8.4 | +1.2 | -13.1 |