Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/18 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+70.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Katsumata Kenji | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +3.4 | -5.6 | +2.8 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 22% | 27% | 25% | -1.1 | -4.9 | +3.7 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 19% | 29% | 28% | -9.7 | +33.2 | -12.0 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 42% | 20% | 20% | -1.5 | -3.4 | -0.9 | +5.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 19% | 40% | 19% | 23% | -2.9 | -2.1 | +0.5 | +4.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 37% | 21% | 26% | -7.0 | +30.7 | -13.7 | -10.0 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 9% | 70% | 7% | 14% | -0.1 | +7.8 | +0.6 | -8.3 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 7% | 80% | 7% | 7% | -3.4 | +1.1 | +2.2 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 84% | 6% | 7% | -5.7 | +17.4 | -5.9 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 96% | 2% | 2% | -5.0 | -3.6 | +15.1 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 95% | 3% | 2% | -8.6 | +0.7 | -9.4 | +17.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -1.8 | -1.3 | -6.5 | +9.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +19.8 | +0.1 | -20.5 | +0.5 |