Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/18 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+70.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Kenji Katsumata | 24% | 23% | 27% | 27% | +7.7 | -2.7 | -1.1 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 30% | 22% | 26% | 23% | -4.2 | -4.1 | +4.8 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 20% | 29% | 26% | -9.9 | +30.7 | -10.9 | -9.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 41% | 22% | 19% | -1.1 | +1.3 | -4.5 | +4.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 43% | 18% | 22% | -2.7 | -4.1 | +2.6 | +4.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 39% | 20% | 24% | -6.0 | +29.7 | -15.1 | -8.6 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 9% | 70% | 8% | 14% | -2.8 | +8.9 | +2.0 | -8.1 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 6% | 81% | 6% | 7% | -1.9 | +1.6 | +0.1 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 86% | 5% | 6% | -6.0 | +16.0 | -3.9 | -6.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 96% | 2% | 2% | -3.3 | -3.0 | +13.3 | -7.0 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 96% | 3% | 1% | -9.2 | +0.2 | -8.3 | +17.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -2.6 | -1.2 | -5.4 | +9.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +20.1 | 0.0 | -20.8 | +0.7 |