Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/19 Game 1

Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +32.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takizawa Kazunori● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Okada Sayaka● Takeuchi Genta0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takizawa● Matsumoto● Okada● Takeuchi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMatsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
East 1Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka26%24%25%25%-5.6-29.2+32.5+2.2
East 2Draw17%10%49%24%-3.7+1.5+5.4-3.2
East 2, 1 honbaTakeuchi Genta tsumo 4,00015%9%54%21%-2.4-8.7-2.0+13.1
East 3Draw14%6%53%28%+2.9+1.8-3.0-1.8
East 4, 1 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takeuchi Genta16%6%50%28%+30.4-2.5+0.7-28.6
South 1Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,10037%4%49%9%-6.6+0.1+8.9-2.4
South 2Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro27%4%62%7%-23.9-7.4+7.7+23.6
South 3Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka7%1%78%15%+8.9-6.0+1.1-4.1
South 4Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka5%0%83%13%+17.2-12.2+7.9-12.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)