Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/19 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -4.6 | -30.4 | +34.3 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 9% | 51% | 23% | -2.3 | +2.6 | +4.6 | -4.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 9% | 55% | 20% | -3.9 | -8.6 | -2.0 | +14.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 5% | 53% | 28% | +3.8 | +2.0 | -3.3 | -2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 16% | 6% | 51% | 28% | +30.1 | -3.5 | +1.8 | -28.5 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 35% | 4% | 52% | 9% | -5.3 | -0.6 | +7.8 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 27% | 4% | 62% | 8% | -24.8 | -5.9 | +6.8 | +24.0 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 7% | 1% | 76% | 15% | +8.8 | -6.5 | +2.3 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 5% | 0% | 83% | 12% | +17.3 | -12.4 | +7.7 | -12.6 |