Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/19 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +34.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Sayaka Okada● Genta Takeuchi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Yoshihiro● Sayaka● Genta
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
East 1Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada25%26%24%25%-4.6-30.4+34.3+0.7
East 2Exhaustive draw17%9%51%23%-2.3+2.6+4.6-4.8
East 2, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi tsumo 4,00017%9%55%20%-3.9-8.6-2.0+14.5
East 3Exhaustive draw13%5%53%28%+3.8+2.0-3.3-2.5
East 4, 1 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi16%6%51%28%+30.1-3.5+1.8-28.5
South 1Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,10035%4%52%9%-5.3-0.6+7.8-1.8
South 2Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto27%4%62%8%-24.8-5.9+6.8+24.0
South 3Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada7%1%76%15%+8.8-6.5+2.3-4.7
South 4Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada5%0%83%12%+17.3-12.4+7.7-12.6

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)