Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/21 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -16.0 | +31.6 | -8.9 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 14% | 49% | 18% | 19% | -1.0 | -1.2 | +22.8 | -20.6 |
| East 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana | 13% | 47% | 31% | 9% | -25.4 | -6.7 | +32.0 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 32% | 59% | 6% | -4.2 | -0.4 | -3.6 | +8.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 3% | 31% | 57% | 8% | +2.8 | -2.6 | -5.6 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 32% | 51% | 13% | +16.4 | -3.2 | +2.0 | -15.2 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,300 from Matsugase Takaya | 7% | 29% | 58% | 6% | -3.8 | +4.9 | -1.2 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 3% | 35% | 56% | 6% | -1.4 | +7.1 | -3.7 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 3% | 42% | 50% | 5% | -12.2 | -1.1 | +1.7 | +11.7 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 40% | 52% | 7% | -5.4 | +30.3 | -23.9 | -1.0 |
| South 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 89% | 7% | 4% | +3.1 | +3.7 | -1.2 | -5.6 |