Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/21 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Date Arisa, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Date Arisa | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | +19.2 | -1.5 | -2.1 | -15.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 38% | 23% | 23% | 16% | +26.4 | -0.6 | +0.6 | -26.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 59% | 18% | 18% | 5% | +9.7 | -10.9 | +0.3 | +0.9 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 68% | 11% | 17% | 4% | -11.1 | +12.8 | -1.8 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 58% | 19% | 18% | 5% | +14.0 | -7.8 | -1.7 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 1,500 | 74% | 10% | 13% | 3% | +1.6 | +0.3 | -5.4 | +3.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 78% | 8% | 10% | 4% | +3.7 | -3.7 | -2.8 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 6,400 from Honda Tomohiro | 83% | 7% | 7% | 4% | -13.3 | +19.0 | -1.2 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 19% | 9% | 3% | -9.2 | -3.1 | -5.6 | +17.8 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 63% | 20% | 9% | 8% | +4.3 | -7.5 | -7.4 | +10.7 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 73% | 10% | 7% | 10% | +4.8 | +10.5 | -1.3 | -14.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 82% | 10% | 1% | 7% | +8.2 | +0.6 | +5.4 | -14.1 |