Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/21 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Arisa Date, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +25.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Arisa Date | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +17.5 | +0.5 | -0.6 | -17.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 39% | 23% | 23% | 15% | +25.2 | +1.6 | -1.9 | -24.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 57% | 20% | 18% | 5% | +12.5 | -15.1 | +2.3 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 70% | 10% | 17% | 4% | -12.6 | +13.1 | -0.9 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 60% | 18% | 17% | 6% | +14.4 | -7.1 | -2.4 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 1,500 | 74% | 9% | 13% | 3% | +0.8 | -0.2 | -5.2 | +4.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 78% | 9% | 10% | 4% | +2.9 | -3.4 | -2.9 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 6,400 from Tomohiro Honda | 81% | 7% | 8% | 4% | -12.6 | +21.8 | -3.3 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 21% | 8% | 2% | -6.8 | -5.4 | -4.6 | +16.8 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 67% | 19% | 8% | 6% | +3.0 | -7.6 | -6.5 | +11.1 |
| South 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 74% | 10% | 7% | 10% | +5.9 | +10.0 | -1.7 | -14.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 9% | 1% | 5% | +6.6 | +1.1 | +5.7 | -13.3 |