Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Asami Maki tsumo 5,200, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +44.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -17.1 | -8.2 | -8.8 | +34.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 12% | 17% | 18% | 53% | +1.9 | -21.1 | -3.6 | +22.9 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu | 8% | 5% | 10% | 77% | -0.8 | -3.0 | +20.2 | -16.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 10% | 6% | 26% | 58% | -1.0 | +1.2 | -14.5 | +14.3 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 4% | 11% | 76% | -4.0 | -7.4 | +22.0 | -10.6 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Asami Maki | 7% | 3% | 26% | 64% | -3.7 | -3.7 | +7.3 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 3% | 30% | 64% | -12.9 | +26.1 | -8.2 | -5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 10% | 27% | 62% | -9.2 | +39.5 | -14.8 | -15.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 1% | 39% | 18% | 42% | -9.3 | -6.1 | -2.4 | +17.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,600 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 25% | 13% | 62% | -1.7 | -3.1 | -7.3 | +12.1 |
| South 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 12% | 3% | 85% | -1.5 | +44.0 | -5.2 | -37.3 |