Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Maki Asami tsumo 5,200, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +44.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -17.1 | -7.4 | -10.6 | +35.1 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 14% | 18% | 16% | 53% | +0.9 | -22.8 | -2.6 | +24.5 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki | 8% | 5% | 10% | 77% | -0.2 | -1.3 | +19.5 | -18.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 12% | 6% | 24% | 58% | +0.5 | -0.1 | -15.4 | +15.0 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 4% | 11% | 77% | -7.1 | -4.8 | +23.4 | -11.5 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Maki Asami | 7% | 4% | 25% | 64% | -3.4 | -6.4 | +8.2 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 2% | 30% | 65% | -12.6 | +27.2 | -7.2 | -7.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 10% | 29% | 59% | -9.1 | +38.1 | -14.8 | -14.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 38% | 20% | 41% | -9.2 | -5.6 | -2.7 | +17.4 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,600 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 24% | 14% | 62% | -2.1 | -2.4 | -8.6 | +13.1 |
| South 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 11% | 3% | 86% | -1.1 | +44.0 | -4.7 | -38.2 |