Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+58.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +50.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 24% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -1.3 | -1.8 | +21.4 | -18.4 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 21% | 23% | 43% | 14% | +1.7 | -20.3 | -1.6 | +20.1 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 12% | 41% | 25% | -4.1 | +19.4 | -12.8 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,100 | 21% | 23% | 30% | 26% | -1.9 | -1.1 | -0.6 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 21% | 22% | 31% | 27% | +24.1 | -22.6 | +0.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 38% | 10% | 29% | 23% | +6.6 | +1.1 | -4.6 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,500 | 43% | 10% | 26% | 21% | +8.3 | -2.4 | -1.9 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 53% | 8% | 24% | 16% | -7.5 | -2.0 | +7.9 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 45% | 8% | 28% | 18% | +9.9 | -10.6 | +1.9 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 58% | 2% | 25% | 15% | -15.9 | -1.2 | +16.6 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 2% | 48% | 16% | -10.5 | -6.0 | -20.1 | +36.6 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 0% | 23% | 53% | +50.4 | -3.7 | -23.2 | -23.5 |