Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/25 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+79.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 23% | 26% | +1.0 | +1.1 | +4.6 | -6.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -3.4 | +32.8 | +0.6 | -30.0 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 51% | 24% | 7% | -7.9 | +23.3 | -9.7 | -5.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 72% | 13% | 4% | -0.3 | +3.2 | -2.4 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 77% | 10% | 3% | -6.7 | -3.0 | -18.1 | +27.7 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,000 | 8% | 77% | 5% | 10% | -3.7 | -1.2 | -2.9 | +7.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 76% | 4% | 13% | +10.6 | +0.3 | -3.7 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 9% | 79% | 4% | 8% | -6.2 | +7.1 | -1.2 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 89% | 3% | 6% | -4.8 | -5.9 | +15.9 | -5.2 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 87% | 6% | 5% | +1.2 | +13.3 | -11.1 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -9.1 | -1.6 | -7.1 | +17.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +3.6 | +10.8 | -18.5 | +4.1 |