Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/25 Game 1
Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+79.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takeuchi Genta ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | +2.2 | +5.6 | +2.6 | -10.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 27% | 27% | 27% | 19% | -4.4 | +30.1 | -1.9 | -23.8 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 50% | 23% | 7% | -9.2 | +26.8 | -8.9 | -8.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 76% | 11% | 3% | +0.4 | -2.1 | +0.8 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 75% | 12% | 4% | -6.2 | -0.7 | -21.5 | +28.5 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,000 | 8% | 78% | 4% | 10% | -2.4 | -2.4 | -2.1 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 75% | 4% | 13% | +9.8 | +0.8 | -3.7 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 10% | 78% | 4% | 9% | -6.9 | +6.2 | +1.1 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 88% | 3% | 6% | -5.3 | -4.2 | +13.1 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 88% | 5% | 6% | +1.2 | +13.0 | -10.5 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -8.1 | -1.9 | -7.0 | +17.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +3.2 | +10.9 | -18.2 | +4.1 |