Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/25 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +63.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -0.2 | +7.5 | -7.2 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 24% | 28% | 21% | 26% | -5.7 | -2.2 | +7.3 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Asai Takaki ron 1,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 20% | 27% | 27% | 26% | +1.3 | +0.8 | -4.8 | +2.7 |
| East 4 | Asai Takaki ron 18,000 from Nikaido Aki | 22% | 28% | 23% | 28% | -4.8 | -43.3 | -1.9 | +50.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 4% | 12% | 73% | -2.8 | +14.9 | -5.5 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 7% | 11% | 70% | -11.5 | -2.6 | +12.7 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 4% | 6% | 16% | 74% | +26.9 | -25.3 | -3.1 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki | 11% | 0% | 13% | 76% | +38.0 | -1.1 | -7.2 | -29.8 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 0% | 7% | 25% | -27.7 | -2.7 | +63.2 | -32.7 |