Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/26 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -17.5 | -3.1 | +24.7 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 14% | 21% | 43% | 22% | +18.1 | -18.2 | +0.5 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 11% | 43% | 21% | +11.1 | -4.0 | -4.1 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 10% | 39% | 20% | -0.3 | -4.7 | -1.7 | +6.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Hiroe Sugawara | 33% | 7% | 37% | 23% | -0.9 | +1.2 | -15.4 | +15.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 9% | 24% | 35% | +1.5 | -2.8 | +7.7 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 33% | 8% | 31% | 29% | -4.0 | -0.9 | -28.3 | +33.3 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 21% | 6% | 9% | 64% | +12.9 | -13.7 | +0.3 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 6,000 | 30% | 0% | 7% | 62% | -5.3 | -4.6 | +14.7 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Tomohiro Honda | 28% | 0% | 14% | 57% | -3.3 | -2.7 | -6.2 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,200 from Hiroe Sugawara | 15% | 0% | 6% | 79% | +2.8 | +0.2 | -10.5 | +7.5 |