Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/26 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -13.8 | -6.8 | +24.9 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 14% | 20% | 45% | 21% | +17.2 | -17.4 | -0.2 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 11% | 43% | 22% | +11.0 | -2.6 | -5.0 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 10% | 38% | 19% | +0.2 | -3.0 | -4.1 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sugawara Hiroe | 34% | 9% | 34% | 24% | -2.1 | +0.1 | -12.8 | +14.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 31% | 9% | 25% | 36% | +2.8 | -4.0 | +6.6 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 34% | 8% | 29% | 30% | -3.4 | -2.5 | -25.9 | +31.9 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 23% | 4% | 9% | 63% | +13.4 | -11.6 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 6,000 | 34% | 0% | 7% | 59% | -8.0 | -3.6 | +14.1 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Honda Tomohiro | 28% | 0% | 14% | 58% | -1.9 | -2.8 | -5.8 | +10.5 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Sugawara Hiroe | 17% | 0% | 6% | 77% | +2.0 | +0.2 | -10.4 | +8.2 |