Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/26 Game 2

Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +35.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Namba Shibukawa● Daisuke Suzuki● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Masato Hagiwara0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Namba● Daisuke● Yoshihiro● Masato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Namba Shibukawa
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Namba Shibukawa
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
East 1Namba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto25%25%26%24%-2.9-8.5+9.6+1.8
East 2Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki21%20%33%27%-17.8-2.0-2.4+22.2
East 3Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,70014%15%28%44%-1.6-4.3-5.6+11.5
East 4Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto10%13%22%55%+33.6-28.80.0-4.8
South 1Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto27%3%21%49%-10.4-18.7+35.4-6.3
South 2Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Namba Shibukawa13%1%52%35%-1.8-3.7-0.8+6.2
South 3Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto11%0%50%39%-4.4-3.5-9.1+17.1
South 4Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,0005%0%29%66%-5.9-0.5+34.9-28.5

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)