Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/26 Game 2
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -2.9 | -8.5 | +9.6 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 21% | 20% | 33% | 27% | -17.8 | -2.0 | -2.4 | +22.2 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 15% | 28% | 44% | -1.6 | -4.3 | -5.6 | +11.5 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 10% | 13% | 22% | 55% | +33.6 | -28.8 | 0.0 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 27% | 3% | 21% | 49% | -10.4 | -18.7 | +35.4 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 13% | 1% | 52% | 35% | -1.8 | -3.7 | -0.8 | +6.2 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 11% | 0% | 50% | 39% | -4.4 | -3.5 | -9.1 | +17.1 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 0% | 29% | 66% | -5.9 | -0.5 | +34.9 | -28.5 |