Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/26 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 27% | 25% | 22% | 27% | -4.7 | -7.4 | +13.5 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 22% | 20% | 32% | 26% | -18.9 | -3.9 | +0.7 | +22.1 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 11% | 15% | 31% | 42% | -3.3 | -2.8 | -6.2 | +12.3 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 9% | 13% | 24% | 54% | +35.0 | -30.4 | +0.1 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 4% | 23% | 47% | -8.5 | -18.3 | +35.1 | -8.3 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 14% | 1% | 54% | 31% | -2.8 | -3.3 | -3.1 | +9.2 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 10% | 0% | 49% | 41% | -5.0 | -3.8 | -7.9 | +16.7 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 0% | 30% | 66% | -5.4 | -0.2 | +34.3 | -28.7 |