Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/28 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+76.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +48.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,300 from Matsugase Takaya | 26% | 22% | 26% | 26% | -9.6 | +2.4 | +5.4 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 25% | 29% | 27% | -8.5 | +29.6 | -10.9 | -10.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 13% | 47% | 21% | 19% | +13.5 | +1.2 | -15.0 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 49% | 12% | 19% | -2.8 | -1.5 | +7.2 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 48% | 17% | 17% | -11.6 | -13.4 | +34.1 | -9.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 33% | 41% | 14% | -7.4 | -5.5 | -18.9 | +31.8 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 7,800 | 11% | 31% | 25% | 33% | -4.7 | -9.9 | -8.4 | +22.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 20% | 17% | 55% | -12.0 | -12.2 | -12.5 | +36.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 2% | 4% | 4% | 90% | +2.3 | +18.2 | -18.1 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 2% | 8% | 2% | 88% | +3.2 | -2.4 | -2.9 | +2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 2% | 7% | 1% | 90% | -17.0 | +15.6 | +2.4 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 11% | 1% | 88% | -1.4 | +5.2 | -1.6 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 16% | 1% | 83% | +0.6 | +6.1 | -4.2 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 0% | 22% | 1% | 78% | -8.2 | -6.5 | +2.4 | +12.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 7% | 0% | 93% | -3.1 | +2.1 | +3.5 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 7,700 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 9% | 1% | 91% | -1.8 | +5.8 | +10.3 | -14.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 0% | 24% | 2% | 74% | -3.0 | -4.7 | -1.4 | +9.1 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 9% | 0% | 91% | +0.1 | +48.9 | +0.4 | -49.5 |