Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/28 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+76.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +48.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Takaya Matsugase | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -7.0 | -1.1 | +5.8 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 24% | 30% | 27% | -9.4 | +31.4 | -10.6 | -11.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 12% | 49% | 20% | 18% | +14.4 | -1.7 | -14.0 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 48% | 13% | 18% | -2.4 | -1.8 | +6.0 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 47% | 18% | 17% | -9.2 | -11.2 | +32.9 | -12.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 35% | 39% | 12% | -10.8 | -6.5 | -17.1 | +34.4 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 7,800 | 10% | 31% | 26% | 33% | -5.5 | -7.9 | -8.7 | +22.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 22% | 17% | 53% | -9.0 | -14.9 | -13.5 | +37.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 2% | 5% | 4% | 90% | -0.4 | +18.6 | -16.6 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 8% | 2% | 89% | +4.0 | -1.5 | -3.5 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 1% | 7% | 1% | 90% | -17.1 | +15.1 | +2.1 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 11% | 1% | 88% | -1.1 | +4.2 | 0.0 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 16% | 1% | 83% | +0.8 | +6.2 | -5.4 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 0% | 20% | 1% | 79% | -8.9 | -6.2 | +3.1 | +11.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 6% | 0% | 94% | -2.7 | +2.5 | +2.9 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 7,700 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 9% | 1% | 91% | -1.9 | +5.6 | +10.6 | -14.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 0% | 24% | 2% | 74% | -2.7 | -4.3 | -2.0 | +9.0 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 10% | 0% | 90% | +0.1 | +48.5 | +0.6 | -49.2 |