Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+81.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Asai Takaki tsumo 18,000, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +55.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -12.0 | -8.7 | +24.6 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 18% | 44% | 22% | -2.4 | -1.4 | -3.1 | +6.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 17% | 40% | 27% | +3.1 | +4.4 | -3.9 | -3.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 21% | 37% | 25% | -18.9 | -15.2 | -20.9 | +55.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 5% | 7% | 13% | 74% | -1.2 | -6.5 | +6.7 | +1.1 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 4% | 13% | 78% | -4.2 | -1.9 | -0.8 | +6.9 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 3% | 9% | 88% | -3.7 | -3.2 | +5.2 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Asai Takaki ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 8% | 91% | +8.2 | -24.3 | -0.6 | +16.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.9 | -1.0 | -1.1 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +3.5 | -3.4 | +2.7 | -2.8 |