Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+81.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Takaki Asai tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +56.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.8 | -4.6 | +23.8 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 21% | 42% | 22% | -0.5 | -2.8 | -3.7 | +7.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 18% | 40% | 26% | +1.7 | +4.0 | -3.0 | -2.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 20% | 38% | 26% | -19.4 | -16.9 | -19.9 | +56.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 5% | 6% | 13% | 76% | +0.7 | -5.1 | +4.8 | -0.4 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 5% | 13% | 79% | -4.2 | -3.2 | +1.4 | +6.0 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 2% | 10% | 87% | -4.6 | -1.0 | +2.8 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Takaki Asai ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 8% | 92% | +9.2 | -25.6 | 0.0 | +16.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.8 | -1.2 | -1.0 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +3.2 | -3.1 | +2.8 | -2.8 |