Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/29 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Suzuki Yu tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +49.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -7.8 | -2.8 | +11.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 20% | 22% | 34% | 24% | -3.3 | +17.9 | -16.0 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 36% | 22% | 25% | +2.7 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Suzuki Yu | 19% | 35% | 22% | 25% | -18.0 | -0.7 | +18.4 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Suzuki Yu | 10% | 34% | 34% | 23% | -14.0 | +0.9 | -2.6 | +15.7 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 32% | 29% | 34% | -5.7 | -6.2 | +25.3 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 24% | 54% | 20% | +49.2 | -21.3 | -12.9 | -15.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 15% | 44% | 16% | +36.5 | -28.3 | -7.3 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 58% | 4% | 28% | 10% | -4.2 | +0.4 | +16.5 | -12.7 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 49% | 3% | 43% | 5% | +4.5 | -6.3 | -1.2 | +3.0 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 57% | 0% | 38% | 5% | -4.8 | +1.2 | +9.8 | -6.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,500 | 45% | 0% | 51% | 3% | -5.0 | 0.0 | +5.9 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 35% | 0% | 62% | 3% | -3.7 | -3.1 | +3.1 | +3.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 30% | 0% | 67% | 3% | -1.8 | +2.3 | +0.3 | -0.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 0% | 72% | 3% | +38.7 | -10.1 | -28.5 | -0.1 |