Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/29 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +49.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -8.1 | -3.7 | +12.0 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 18% | 24% | 34% | 25% | +0.8 | +15.8 | -16.8 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 35% | 22% | 24% | +0.6 | -0.9 | +0.2 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Yu Suzuki | 19% | 34% | 22% | 25% | -17.1 | +0.1 | +16.6 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki | 11% | 33% | 32% | 24% | -15.4 | +1.3 | -2.4 | +16.5 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 32% | 28% | 34% | -5.2 | -8.5 | +25.8 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 22% | 54% | 21% | +49.4 | -16.7 | -13.4 | -19.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 16% | 44% | 15% | +35.3 | -30.4 | -4.9 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Namba Shibukawa | 58% | 4% | 29% | 10% | -3.1 | +0.6 | +14.5 | -12.0 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 50% | 3% | 42% | 5% | +4.4 | -7.1 | +0.5 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 57% | 0% | 39% | 3% | -5.6 | +2.5 | +9.0 | -5.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,500 | 44% | 0% | 53% | 3% | -4.2 | -1.3 | +5.8 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 0% | 62% | 3% | -4.0 | -3.1 | +3.5 | +3.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 0% | 69% | 3% | -2.4 | +3.1 | +0.5 | -1.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 23% | 0% | 74% | 3% | +39.5 | -10.5 | -29.4 | +0.3 |