Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
11/29 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+85.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 9,600 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -6.2 | +9.8 | +1.2 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 32% | 27% | 21% | -4.1 | -12.9 | +20.4 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 19% | 21% | 41% | 19% | -0.7 | -0.9 | +30.3 | -28.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 12% | 13% | 70% | 5% | -2.7 | +29.0 | -5.5 | -20.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 9% | 30% | 60% | 1% | -0.7 | -1.3 | -1.8 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 31% | 58% | 2% | +18.8 | -7.9 | -1.6 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 17% | 25% | 58% | 0% | +16.3 | -6.1 | -7.9 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Hori Shingo | 31% | 21% | 47% | 1% | +18.0 | -1.2 | -16.4 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 53% | 19% | 28% | 0% | +4.1 | -0.3 | -1.8 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 9,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 57% | 17% | 25% | 0% | +24.9 | -22.4 | -2.6 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Draw | 84% | 3% | 12% | 0% | +0.6 | +0.1 | +1.7 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 84% | 4% | 12% | 0% | +0.5 | +4.1 | -1.7 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Win | 87% | 4% | 10% | 0% | -8.4 | +25.6 | -11.4 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 76% | 15% | 9% | 0% | +10.9 | -4.7 | -2.4 | -3.8 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 92% | 4% | 5% | 0% | +4.5 | +0.3 | -5.1 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | +8.4 | +2.8 | -6.1 | -5.1 |