Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

11/29 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+85.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 9,600 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +24.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Shiratori Sho● Setokuma Naoki● Hori Shingo● Kobayashi Go0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Setokuma● Hori● Kobayashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Setokuma Naoki
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Setokuma Naoki
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
East 1Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go25%25%26%24%-6.2+9.8+1.2-4.9
East 2Hori Shingo tsumo 8,00021%32%27%21%-4.1-12.9+20.4-3.5
East 3Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go19%21%41%19%-0.7-0.9+30.3-28.7
East 3, 1 honbaSetokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go12%13%70%5%-2.7+29.0-5.5-20.8
East 4Draw9%30%60%1%-0.7-1.3-1.8+3.8
East 4, 1 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 8,0009%31%58%2%+18.8-7.9-1.6-9.2
South 1Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,00017%25%58%0%+16.3-6.1-7.9-2.2
South 1, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Hori Shingo31%21%47%1%+18.0-1.2-16.4-0.4
South 1, 2 honbaShiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go53%19%28%0%+4.1-0.3-1.8-2.0
South 1, 3 honbaShiratori Sho ron 9,600 from Setokuma Naoki57%17%25%0%+24.9-22.4-2.6+0.1
South 1, 4 honbaDraw84%3%12%0%+0.6+0.1+1.7-2.4
South 1, 5 honbaSetokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go84%4%12%0%+0.5+4.1-1.7-3.0
South 2Win87%4%10%0%-8.4+25.6-11.4-5.8
South 2, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go76%15%9%0%+10.9-4.7-2.4-3.8
South 3Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki92%4%5%0%+4.5+0.3-5.1+0.3
South 4Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,00099%1%0%0%+8.4+2.8-6.1-5.1

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)