Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/2 Game 2
Sugawara Hiroe finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Sugawara Hiroe's expected points by +61.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -16.5 | +30.2 | -6.1 | -7.5 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 13% | 50% | 18% | 19% | +25.1 | -21.3 | -0.5 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 31% | 31% | 20% | 18% | +22.6 | -22.9 | -1.4 | +1.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 51% | 14% | 16% | 18% | +9.1 | -0.8 | -2.3 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,500 from Sugawara Hiroe | 62% | 13% | 13% | 12% | +9.7 | -2.4 | -7.6 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 74% | 9% | 8% | 9% | -21.1 | -8.0 | -8.6 | +37.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 47% | 8% | 7% | 38% | +0.2 | +4.5 | -2.7 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 9% | 7% | 36% | -4.7 | -23.3 | +36.2 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,500 from Daigo Hiroshi | 46% | 2% | 23% | 30% | -1.0 | -4.9 | +9.3 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Sugawara Hiroe | 43% | 1% | 30% | 26% | +1.3 | -1.5 | -22.1 | +22.3 |
| South 4 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 40% | 0% | 9% | 51% | -13.4 | 0.0 | +61.1 | -47.7 |