Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/2 Game 2
Hiroe Sugawara finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Hiroe Sugawara's expected points by +61.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -17.3 | +34.3 | -10.8 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 13% | 52% | 16% | 19% | +25.8 | -25.0 | +1.2 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 31% | 29% | 19% | 20% | +24.9 | -23.8 | -1.8 | +0.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 13% | 15% | 19% | +6.6 | +0.4 | +0.4 | -7.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,500 from Hiroe Sugawara | 61% | 12% | 14% | 13% | +9.9 | -0.1 | -9.5 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 73% | 9% | 8% | 10% | -17.3 | -10.1 | -11.0 | +38.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 7% | 6% | 37% | -2.4 | +6.2 | -1.7 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 12,000 | 47% | 10% | 6% | 37% | -4.0 | -24.2 | +36.9 | -8.7 |
| South 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 1,500 from Hiroshi Daigo | 46% | 2% | 22% | 30% | -1.5 | -5.5 | +9.9 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Hiroe Sugawara | 44% | 1% | 29% | 26% | +1.2 | -0.8 | -22.4 | +21.9 |
| South 4 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 41% | 0% | 9% | 50% | -14.0 | -0.4 | +61.6 | -47.2 |