Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/3 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +50.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -14.3 | -3.9 | -4.3 | +22.4 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 16% | 20% | 20% | 44% | +3.0 | -2.4 | +5.7 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 18% | 19% | 25% | 38% | -9.3 | +3.2 | +1.5 | +4.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 20% | 25% | 42% | +19.1 | -5.9 | -10.8 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 24% | 17% | 18% | 40% | -5.5 | +7.8 | -0.3 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 20% | 22% | 19% | 40% | -3.6 | +18.4 | -14.6 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 35% | 12% | 38% | -1.6 | +23.7 | -19.2 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 59% | 4% | 28% | -5.4 | -19.3 | -5.3 | +30.0 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 5% | 27% | 2% | 65% | -10.0 | -4.1 | -2.9 | +17.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 92% | -1.0 | +50.1 | -4.8 | -44.3 |