Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/3 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +49.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -13.5 | -4.6 | -4.9 | +23.0 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 16% | 20% | 21% | 42% | +1.3 | -0.3 | +2.0 | -2.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 20% | 22% | 40% | -9.4 | +1.4 | +6.3 | +1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 19% | 27% | 41% | +17.8 | -4.5 | -11.6 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 19% | 20% | 40% | -1.0 | +5.3 | -1.9 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 21% | 21% | 19% | 39% | -4.3 | +15.8 | -13.2 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Mari Takamiya | 16% | 31% | 13% | 40% | -2.8 | +28.0 | -20.3 | -5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 59% | 4% | 27% | -5.7 | -18.8 | -5.5 | +30.0 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 5% | 28% | 2% | 66% | -9.1 | -4.9 | -2.8 | +16.8 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 91% | -1.3 | +49.7 | -4.8 | -43.6 |