Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/3 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 16,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | +6.0 | -2.8 | -2.4 | -0.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | +20.2 | -2.3 | -17.7 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 5,200 | 45% | 19% | 14% | 21% | -8.4 | -2.1 | -5.6 | +16.1 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 16,000 | 37% | 18% | 11% | 34% | -11.2 | -22.5 | +43.8 | -10.0 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 27% | 9% | 38% | 26% | +9.0 | 0.0 | -7.9 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 9% | 30% | 26% | +28.1 | -7.8 | -8.3 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 66% | 4% | 18% | 12% | -2.6 | +0.9 | -1.6 | +3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 65% | 5% | 17% | 13% | -2.5 | -1.1 | +34.5 | -30.9 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 54% | 0% | 43% | 3% | -8.0 | +5.9 | +6.7 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken | 38% | 0% | 60% | 2% | -23.6 | -10.6 | +8.9 | +25.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 9% | 0% | 84% | 7% | -0.1 | -4.0 | +10.1 | -6.0 |