Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/5 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Asami Maki tsumo 12,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -10.2 | +1.1 | +2.9 | +6.1 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 24% | 28% | 29% | +35.9 | -18.2 | -11.0 | -6.7 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 13% | 19% | 23% | -12.8 | -9.7 | +32.9 | -10.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 33% | 8% | 43% | 16% | -32.5 | +0.6 | +30.0 | +1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 9% | 5% | 74% | 13% | -13.4 | +12.0 | +1.8 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 4% | 7% | 78% | 11% | -2.1 | +5.0 | +1.2 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 8% | 82% | 8% | -14.1 | -5.8 | -3.3 | +23.1 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 6% | 78% | 15% | -7.3 | +29.7 | -10.3 | -12.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 22% | 65% | 13% | -10.1 | -7.1 | -1.2 | +18.4 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 0% | 14% | 63% | 24% | +0.4 | +1.3 | +26.5 | -28.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,200 from Asami Maki | 0% | 3% | 94% | 3% | 0.0 | +0.7 | -9.3 | +8.5 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 4% | 90% | 7% | -1.1 | -3.9 | -2.7 | +7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 3% | 86% | 11% | +5.5 | +5.5 | +5.2 | -16.2 |