Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/5 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +31.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -7.3 | +3.0 | +0.4 | +3.8 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 25% | 25% | 29% | +33.7 | -19.8 | -6.1 | -7.8 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 12% | 20% | 22% | -12.7 | -10.2 | +31.4 | -8.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 32% | 8% | 43% | 18% | -32.2 | +1.6 | +31.7 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 8% | 6% | 75% | 11% | -12.4 | +11.2 | +0.6 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 8% | 78% | 10% | -1.0 | +4.8 | +0.5 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 8% | 81% | 7% | -15.3 | -6.2 | -3.0 | +24.5 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 6% | 78% | 15% | -7.5 | +30.4 | -10.0 | -13.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 22% | 66% | 12% | -10.3 | -7.4 | -1.4 | +19.1 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 0% | 14% | 62% | 24% | +0.5 | +1.1 | +26.5 | -28.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,200 from Maki Asami | 0% | 3% | 94% | 3% | +0.1 | +0.7 | -9.5 | +8.8 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 4% | 89% | 7% | -1.0 | -2.6 | -2.0 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 4% | 87% | 10% | +5.3 | +4.2 | +5.0 | -14.5 |